Episode 28

Published on:

22nd Jun 2021

Are Option Probabilities B.S.?

One of the attractions of trading options is the idea that you can create trades with varying degrees of probabilities of profit. In this episode, I put the option probabilities that the trading platforms give us to the test by doing a 10year backtest. The focus is on comparing both the call and put side to see if over a long term period of time, if the probabilities play out as expected.

As a bonus, listeners can view the studies discussed in this episode over on the community website in the Podcast section.

Here's the direct link:


Also, for those interested in generating income up to 3 times per week trading SPX 0DTE spreads, check out the SPX Masterclass and Community. Now with a live chat feed to see what trades members are taking in real time.

Here's the link to the Course:


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About the Podcast

Stock Market Options Trading
A retail trader's guide to consistent profits.
Join our trading community over at https://www.stockmarketoptionstrading.net to improve your stock and options trading skills.

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About your host

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Eric O'Rourke